Monday, April 2, 2012

Let's hope they are ready for victory.

One of the great failures of the Republican Congress in 1995 was to not have a follow on issue after the budget. After winning the budget battle and forcing Bill Clinton to put in a balanced budget plan, the Gingrich led House was not ready to his something else right out the box (e.g. real health insurance reform, legal reform, tax reform, etc). They were not able to keep Clinton on his heals Slick was able to regain his momentum for the next year and the next election.

Now someone has a legit issue for the Republicans. Are you ready for winning?

On health care, are Republicans ready for victory?

Three days of oral arguments at the Supreme Court have given Republicans reason for optimism that President Obama’s health-care law could be heading for a legal defeat in a few months. But would such a victory for the GOP this summer mean political success for the party in November and beyond?

No one can say with any certainty what the justices will decide. But the individual mandate — the symbol of all that conservatives loathe about the new health-care law — appears to be in trouble, based on the give and take at the high court. And Justice Antonin Scalia argued that if the mandate is ruled unconstitutional, the entire law should fall with it.

Such a ruling would be a major win for opponents of the federal statute. But it could come with complications. First, a party that has built its health-care message on the phrase “repeal and replace” would immediately come under pressure to reach consensus on how to reform the health-care system. Second, Republicans, who benefited from a sizable enthusiasm gap in the 2010 midterm elections, could face a Democratic opposition deeply angered and newly motivated by its setback in the high court...

...For almost three years, health care has been the energizing force inside the conservative movement. It is arguable that the new legislation, as much as Obama’s stimulus spending, created the tea party movement that helped power Republicans to victory in 2010, and there’s no doubt that it has remained the most powerful organizing message for GOP candidates. The legal battle over the law has helped bind conservatives together in common cause at a time when the Republican presidential nominating contest has been a disappointment to many in the party.

Republicans have been far more united around the concept of repeal than replace, however. Coming together around a replacement for Obama’s comprehensive solution to rising costs and a lack of insurance among about 45 million Americans will be a major challenge. Up to now, Republicans have offered generalities, not a plan.

Wrong on this point. Representative Ryan has put out a serious Medicare reform plan out and reforms to allow the states to manage Medicaid. But on a general reform plan (e.g. legal reform, allowing insurance companies to sell across state lines, etc) their is not one out on the table. Not to say their may not be one in a drawer waiting for the ruling to come out. We just don't know now. And hopefully the people in charge of the Republican Party (e.g Romney) are ready for this. Hey guys, people want a choice, more than "It's not Obamacare."

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