HYPERLINKS MAY REQUIRE AN EMAIL:
USA
October 5, WABC 7 New York
October 6, Associated Press – (National) Army updates spy rules after WikiLeaks. The Army has updated its 17-year-old rule book on espionage specifically to require that troops alert authorities if they suspect classified leaks to news media outlets. The revision comes in the aftermath of the service’s WikiLeaks debacle. An Army intelligence analyst was charged this year with providing a classified video to WikiLeaks, an anti-war organization that runs what it describes as a whistle-blower Web site. The new Army regulation, released October 4, requires that troops alert authorities if they suspect that classified information has been provided to anyone who is not authorized to have it. It also directs the Army to create a central system to collect threat reports.
China Security Memo: Oct. 7, 2010 STRATFOR– (New York) Heightened security at NYC subways. The New York Police Department’s (NYPD) commissioner warned that New York City remains the primary target for terrorists. As rail traffic increases around the upcoming holiday, at Penn Station and throughout the Amtrak system, there is an increased show of force reportedly known as "Operation Railsafe." Officials hope it will bring heightened awareness. "Forty percent of attacks over the last 20 years have been against transit facilities," the commissioner said. While intelligence officials press the hunt for suspected terrorists said to be planning an alleged plot in Europe, the threat of terrorism in New York City is the focus of an NYPD shield conference. They also are training to counter a favorite terrorist tactic aimed at striking first responders with a secondary explosion. The NYPD also continues to pour anti-terrorism resources and highly trained officers into the world’s largest mass transit system.
Conflicting Reports on Tajikistan Fighting STRATFOR
EUROPE
NOTHING SIGNIFICANT TO REPORT
ASIA
Russia, India: Fighter Jet Deal Announced October 7, 2010
India will buy 250 to 300 advanced stealth fighter jets from Russia, Indian Defense Minister A.K. Antony said Oct. 7 as he announced a deal worth nearly $30 billion, Press Trust of India reported.? Antony and his Russian counterpart, Anatoly Serdyukov, said Russia would supply the Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft (FGFA) as well as 45 transport planes. Reuters reported that India and Russia will jointly manufacture the fighter aircraft over 10 years.
RUSSIA
Russia: Split In North Caucasus Militants - Chechen President October 7, 2010
Media reports indicating a new split among North Caucasus militants prove they have no centralized leadership and are running away from rebel leader Doku Umarov, Chechen President Ramzan Kadyrov said Oct. 7, Interfax reported. Militants lack political and religious goals, have long been without centralized leadership and are merely concerned with survival, Kadyrov said. Militants such as Khuseyn Gakayev, Aslanbek Vadalov and Tarkhan Gaziyev are “swimming in the blood of innocent people,” and Chechen security forces will soon find them, Kadyrov added.
Dispatch: Russian Designs for European Security STRATFOR
Russia: To Increase Nuclear Arms Spending October 8, 2010
The Russian Federation’s nuclear triad will increase spending on the procurement, upgrade and maintenance of combat readiness over the next three years by nearly a half, RIA Novosti reported Oct. 8, citing the chairman of the State Duma Defense Committee, Viktor Zavarzin. He said budget spending on national defense compared to GDP would amount to 3.01 percent in 2011, 2.97 percent in 2012 and 3.39 percent in 2013, which is above the figure — 2.84 percent — for 2010.
IRAN
Iran: Russia Cancels S-300 Contract, Returning Money October 7, 2010
Russia has canceled its $800 million contract with Iran on the sale of S-300 anti-aircraft missile systems and is preparing to return payments that have been made by Tehran, Russian Technologies General Director Sergei Chemezov said, Interfax reported Oct. 7. Chemezov cited the fresh U.N. Security Council sanctions and a presidential decree banning the sale as the reasons for the cancellation.
IRAQ
Iraq: Military Coup Feared October 8, 2010
An Iraqi security source has revealed that U.S. forces have given orders for U.S. officers to join key military units in Baghdad as advisers due to fears of an attempt to overthrow the government, Asharq Al-Awsat reported Oct. 8. Armed forces and security forces, currently divided by sectarian and political loyalties, are now on a state of alert. The anonymous source also revealed that there is a clear conflict between former Iraqi army officers and young officers who have obtained high rank due to political or sectarian affiliations.
Iraq: Divisions In Al-Iraqiya Over Al-Maliki October 7, 2010
Saleh al-Mutlaq, leader of Iraqi political bloc the Iraqi Front for National Dialogue, a member of the al-Iraqiya list, said there are differences in al-Iraqiya over the candidacy of Nouri al-Maliki for prime minister. Al-Mutlaq said despite the differences, the bloc is still unified. He accused Iran of exerting pressure on Iraq to take away al-Iraqiya’s right to form a new government and said the United States has “chosen the easy way” by supporting al-Maliki’s campaign.
ISRAEL
Israel: U.S. Stealth Fighter Deal Signed October 7, 2010
Israeli Ministry of Defense Director General Ehud Shani signed a contract in New York on Oct. 7 that gives Israel 20 F-35 stealth fighters for a price of almost $3 billion. The contract states that Israel will receive the warplanes in 2016 and gives Israel an option for the purchase of 75 more planes. The contract signing was an expression of Israel’s strategic alliance with the United States to maintain Israel’s military edge, Shani said, adding that Israel plans to pick up on the option to buy more planes.
AFGHANISTAN
Afghanistan: Explosives Smuggler Entered Via Iran October 7, 2010
A man detained by Afghan police Oct. 5 for smuggling explosives into Afghanistan had entered the country through Iran, according to Iranian officials, Pajhwok reported Oct. 7, citing the Afghan Foreign Ministry. The man was seized smuggling 19 tons of explosives in Zaranj, the capital of Afghanistan’s southeastern Nimroz province. An Afghan Foreign Ministry spokesman said Iranian authorities had admitted the man entered Afghanistan from Iran.
Afghanistan: Explosives Smuggler Entered Via Iran October 7, 2010
A man detained by Afghan police Oct. 5 for smuggling explosives into Afghanistan had entered the country through Iran, according to Iranian officials, Pajhwok reported Oct. 7, citing the Afghan Foreign Ministry. The man was seized smuggling 19 tons of explosives in Zaranj, the capital of Afghanistan’s southeastern Nimroz province. An Afghan Foreign Ministry spokesman said Iranian authorities had admitted the man entered Afghanistan from Iran.
Agenda: With George Friedman STRATFOR
MIDDLE EASTExcept where noted courtesy www.stratfor.com
NOTHING SIGNIFICANT TO REPORT
SOUTH OF THE BORDER
NOTHING SIGNIFICANT TO REPORT
MISC
Geithner's Speech on the Global Economy STRATFOR
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